Your AMP should include growth forecasts and other factors that influence demand, population forecasts, the impact of these changes in demand on the transportation network, and how you propose to deal with these. Factors that influence customer demand on the transportation network include:
- population growth and decline
- demographic change
- change in land use
- economic growth and decline
- modal change
- development of recreational areas
- future customer expectations.
This tool does not provide any examples under this heading, because each region needs to tell its own story of demand and growth. In telling this story, your organisation needs to:
- use robust data
- demonstrate that you have gleaned some analytical insights from that data
- demonstrate consistency with the projections in your region’s RLTP and any national level projections, such as, the Ministry of Transport Domain Plan or the Transport Agency’s Long Term View (LTV).
The CODC’s AMP for 2018–21 tells a different story of demand and growth compared to their AMP for 2015–18. The CODC rewrote the section on demand and growth to capture the changing nature of the problems they faced because of extremely high growth. The CODC’s AMP now prioritises the need to respond to changes in transportation service demands driven by population growth. The issue is not one of overall capacity, but of providing expected levels of service across townships and collector roading networks.
Note that the CODC have written their story on demand and growth in conjunction with their 30-year Infrastructure Plan. By doing this, the CODC have ensured that their high-level strategic planning is in line with their service delivery priorities.
All in all, this is a good example of fit-for-purpose effort.
Reflections from our audits: investment and asset management, a report by the Controller and Auditor-General, published in July 2017, states: ‘As the stewards of public assets, it is important that public entities have the right information, systems and people to manage assets responsibly and to the best of their ability. Having the right information, systems and people provides a good foundation for effectively managing assets to meet the needs of current and future generations.’
The report also mentions that, ‘…public entities need to be realistic about the gaps in their information and systems. They need to understand the gaps and work hard to fill them to enable good asset management.
Good information about assets is needed for public entities to monitor the performance of assets and manage them. If done well, public entities will make decisions that optimise services to people and they will realise the most value from their investment in the assets.’
Full report by the Controller and Auditor-General(external link)